Durham City vs Hall Road Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUR
3 - 0
WOS
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SKE
6 - 3
DUR
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DUR
4 - 1
HAR
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RAD
3 - 2
DUR
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUR
7 - 1
WAR
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |