Durango vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
DUR
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
5 - 0
DUR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 1
RYD
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
4 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
TEM
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
2 - 2
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
CFC
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 2
CAP
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOR
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |