Durango vs Colima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
DUR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
DUR
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAZ
1 - 0
DUR
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
MIN
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 4
COL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 2
COL
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |