Durango vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
5 - 0
DUR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 1
RYD
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
4 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 2
DUR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALE
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 4
TOR
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
RYD
2 - 3
TOR
32%
30%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
CIM
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |