Duque de Caxias vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |