Duque de Caxias vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
ICA
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |