Dunkerque vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
SOC
1 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 3
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 0
DUN
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 0
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 0
TRO
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIO
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ASN
2 - 3
TRO
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 0
TRO
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |