USL Dunkerque U19 vs Lens U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
12º
8º
58
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USL Dunkerque U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 1
DKQ
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DKQ
1 - 4
AMI
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
REI
1 - 0
DKQ
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DKQ
2 - 1
HAV
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 0
DKQ
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSG
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 2
LEN
10%
15%
76%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
4 - 2
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
LEN
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 0
GON
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |