Dungannon Swifts vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
5º
4º
63
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
DUN
58%
21%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
48%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
DUN
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
CLI
0 - 2
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 3
BAL
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 2
LAR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LAR
1 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
1 - 2
LAR
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 1
LAR
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |