Dungannon Swifts vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
12º
10º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
5 - 0
WFC
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 4
LAR
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
LOU
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |