Dungannon Swifts vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
12º
11º
73
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
COL
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 0
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |