Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 2
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
WAR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 6
CRU
6%
14%
81%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
6 - 1
DUN
63%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
2 - 0
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
COL
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |