Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
DUN
47%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
WAR
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 1
INS
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |