Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
DUN
1 - 0
LAR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 1
DUN
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 1
DUN
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 1
INS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |