Dungannon Swifts vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 0
DUN
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 0
CLI
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CLI
1 - 1
DUN
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
DUN
6 - 0
GLE
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 1
DUN
25%
24%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
INS
1 - 3
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LIN
2 - 0
INS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
INS
4 - 0
ARC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |