Dungannon Swifts vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 4
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
WAR
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |