Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 6
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
COV
0 - 2
DUN
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
QOS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
DUN
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
KIL
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 2
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 1
FAL
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 0
QOS
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
KIL
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |