Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
GLA
5 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
PAR
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 1
STE
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
5 - 1
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
3 - 1
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 2
STJ
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 1
ICT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
3 - 2
KHE
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |