Dunedin vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
10
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
1 - 0
DUN
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
GIA
68%
16%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
DUN
92%
5%
2%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NSF
7 - 1
SUF
84%
10%
5%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 1
SUF
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
COA
24%
20%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
SUF
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |