Dunedin vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
20
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 6
AUC
3%
8%
89%
|
21 | 60 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
NSF
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 2
DUN
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
DUN
6 - 0
QUE
24%
20%
56%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COA
0 - 2
NOM
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 5
NSF
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FER
4 - 2
NOM
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOM
2 - 4
SCR
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |