Dundela vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
4 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
HAR
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
INS
0 - 5
DER
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
38%
24%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEY
2 - 0
INS
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |