Dundee vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
ICT
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DUN
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 3
QOS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 0
AYR
72%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 2
ICT
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |