Dundee United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
2º
1º
23
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 5
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
QUE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ICT
0 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
QOS
1 - 2
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 3
ICT
38%
26%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 3
ARB
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 0
AIR
27%
26%
46%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 2
ICT
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |