Dunbeholden vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
22
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DFC
4 - 2
FSC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 2
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 0
CMF
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
MPA
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 0
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
VER
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
TRI
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |