Dunbar United vs Arniston Rangers FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
COL
3 - 2
DUN
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PEE
1 - 2
DUN
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 3
NEW
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
OAK
1 - 1
DUN
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
MUS
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Arniston Rangers FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 0
HAW
85%
10%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 1
LEI
16%
16%
68%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TWR
3 - 5
ARN
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
2 - 3
EAS
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 0
ARN
89%
8%
2%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |