Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 4
DUM
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
STR
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
DUM
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 3
DUM
3%
8%
88%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 4
BLA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 3
FOR
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |