Scottish League Two . Jor. 5

Dumbarton vs East Fife analysis

Dumbarton East Fife
50 ELO 43
-12% Tilt 6.1%
3648º General ELO ranking 4499º
38º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Dumbarton
23.1%
Draw
18.1%
East Fife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
East Fife
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+10%
+2%
East Fife

Points and table prediction

Dumbarton
Their league position
East Fife
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
44
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dumbarton
East Fife
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Dumbarton
East Fife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 4
Dumbarton
DUM
36%
25%
39%
49 46 3 0
19 Aug. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
42%
27%
30%
47 48 1 +2
16 Aug. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock II
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
14%
17%
69%
48 31 17 -1
12 Aug. 2023
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
Spartans
SPA
40%
26%
34%
48 48 0 0
05 Aug. 2023
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
34%
24%
42%
48 44 4 0

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
32%
26%
43%
44 38 6 0
19 Aug. 2023
EAS
East Fife
0 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
44%
25%
31%
45 45 0 -1
15 Aug. 2023
DND
Dundee II
0 - 0
East Fife
EAS
10%
14%
75%
45 9 36 0
12 Aug. 2023
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
46%
25%
29%
45 45 0 0
05 Aug. 2023
EAS
East Fife
0 - 3
Peterhead
PET
72%
18%
11%
46 34 12 -1
X