Dumbarton vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
DUM
1 - 3
DUN
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
DUM
1 - 2
AIR
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
STJ
3 - 0
DUM
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
HAM
3 - 0
DUM
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUM
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
DUN
1 - 2
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1996 |
CLY
0 - 1
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 1
HAM
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |