Dumbarton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
5 - 2
PET
56%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
2 - 2
ALL
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
DUM
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
6 - 0
DUM
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 2
AYR
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 0
AYR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 3
AYR
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 1
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
AYR
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |