Dumbarton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
DUM
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
4 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 3
ALL
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUM
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ABE
6 - 0
DUM
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
KHE
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARB
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
ARB
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |