Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUM
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DUM
5 - 0
EAS
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 3
COV
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 0
DUM
58%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
ALL
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
AIR
2 - 1
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALL
2 - 0
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CWB
0 - 2
ALL
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 1
QUE
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |