Duluth vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 0
ARI
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
0 - 1
DUL
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 0
DAK
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
0 - 1
VSL
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
1 - 2
DUL
7%
13%
79%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
0 - 2
MEC
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
6 - 1
SFT
93%
6%
2%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 0
SFT
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
DAK
3 - 1
SFT
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
1 - 2
DUL
7%
13%
79%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |