NPSL - USA round 35

Duluth vs Sioux Falls Thunder analysis

Duluth Sioux Falls Thunder
36 ELO 13
-1.9% Tilt 0.2%
6500º General ELO ranking 14113º
131º Country ELO ranking 264º
ELO win probability
90.9%
Duluth
6.9%
Draw
2.2%
Sioux Falls Thunder

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
Duluth
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
Sioux Falls Thunder
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO progression

Duluth
Sioux Falls Thunder
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Duluth
Duluth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2018
DUL
Duluth
4 - 0
Aris
ARI
93%
6%
1%
36 5 31 0
17 Jun. 2018
VSL
VSLT
0 - 1
Duluth
DUL
42%
22%
36%
35 33 2 +1
10 Jun. 2018
DUL
Duluth
1 - 0
Dakota Fusion
DAK
85%
10%
5%
35 19 16 0
07 Jun. 2018
DUL
Duluth
0 - 1
VSLT
VSL
64%
18%
18%
36 32 4 -1
03 Jun. 2018
SFT
Sioux Falls Thunder
1 - 2
Duluth
DUL
7%
13%
79%
36 15 21 0

Matches

Sioux Falls Thunder
Sioux Falls Thunder
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2018
SFT
Sioux Falls Thunder
0 - 2
Med City
MEC
8%
14%
78%
14 34 20 0
17 Jun. 2018
MIN
Minneapolis City
6 - 1
Sioux Falls Thunder
SFT
93%
6%
2%
14 42 28 0
14 Jun. 2018
MIN
Minnesota TwinStars
2 - 0
Sioux Falls Thunder
SFT
87%
9%
4%
14 27 13 0
07 Jun. 2018
DAK
Dakota Fusion
3 - 1
Sioux Falls Thunder
SFT
71%
16%
13%
15 19 4 -1
03 Jun. 2018
SFT
Sioux Falls Thunder
1 - 2
Duluth
DUL
7%
13%
79%
15 36 21 0