Duluth vs Med City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MIN
4 - 2
DUL
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
3 - 2
MIN
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 0
SFT
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
DUL
4 - 0
ARI
93%
6%
1%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
VSL
0 - 1
DUL
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Med City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
MEC
11 - 0
DAK
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 2
MEC
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
MEC
0 - 0
VSL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
SFT
0 - 2
MEC
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
MEC
1 - 1
MIN
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |