Druzhba Maykop vs Alania Vladikavkaz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
12º
8º
13
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
DMA
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BIO
0 - 1
DMA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 1
DMA
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZOR
1 - 1
DMA
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 0
NAL
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Alania Vladikavkaz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 2
ALA
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 3
FKK
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BIO
1 - 0
ALA
91%
6%
2%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
ROT
6%
15%
79%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +1 |