Droylsden vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Droylsden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 0
BLY
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 1
DRO
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
FYL
5 - 0
DRO
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 3
SKE
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
ASH
4 - 1
DRO
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 3
WHI
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ASH
2 - 0
TRA
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
6 - 2
TRA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
STA
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 3
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |