DRB-Hicom vs USM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DRB-Hicom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
JOH
0 - 0
DRB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DRB
0 - 3
JOH
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 2
DRB
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
DRB
1 - 1
PAH
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
DRB
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
USM
4 - 2
MUA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MUA
3 - 2
USM
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
PER
1 - 2
USM
46%
24%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
USM
2 - 1
JOH
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
SIM
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -2 |