Drancy vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FCM
3 - 1
DRA
67%
21%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 2
YZE
32%
29%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
DRA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DRA
2 - 2
ROY
30%
28%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 3
SAE
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 0
FLE
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
THO
1 - 3
FLE
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 0
LEP
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 2
FLE
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |