Drancy vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 1
DRA
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
DRA
0 - 0
MGG
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
DRA
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
DRA
0 - 1
CHO
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LYO
3 - 0
DRA
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
BOU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
USB
4 - 0
AVR
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
QUE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 0
AVR
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 0
TOU
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |