Drancy vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 1
DRA
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 0
LIL
54%
26%
21%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 1
POI
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
DRA
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
FBB
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VCH
0 - 0
ARR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
FLE
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
FUR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
DRA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |