Dragon vs AS Pirae analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
4.1%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
35.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
16%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+103%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
5º
5º
19
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PUN
4 - 0
DRA
22%
17%
62%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 4
DRA
42%
20%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEM
0 - 5
DRA
26%
18%
56%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 6
TEF
55%
19%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 1
DRA
53%
18%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AS Pirae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 4
SUV
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HEK
1 - 2
PIR
47%
21%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
IFI
2 - 2
PIR
29%
19%
52%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 0
TIG
65%
17%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TEF
4 - 3
PIR
48%
19%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |