Drassburg vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
16º
11º
47
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
83% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drassburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SVS
5 - 0
DRA
84%
13%
3%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 1
SCW
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 1
DRA
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
ASV
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
NEU
6 - 0
DRA
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCW
2 - 1
MAN
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAN
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
ELE
65%
19%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 4
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |