DOVO vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DOVO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DOV
2 - 0
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
DOV
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VVS
0 - 3
DOV
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
DOV
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DOV
0 - 0
DVS
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACV
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 2
HAR
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
LIS
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 3
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |