Dover Athletic vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
DUL
0 - 0
DOV
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
ATK
3 - 2
DOV
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
DOV
1 - 1
RAM
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
WHY
0 - 2
DOV
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
DOV
1 - 1
FLE
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
HOR
1 - 6
TOO
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 0
HAS
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 3
HOR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
HOR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
HOR
5 - 0
MOL
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |