Double Flower vs Lucky Mile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Double Flower
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 0
DOU
20%
19%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
HON
6 - 1
DOU
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAA
4 - 0
DOU
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DOU
1 - 0
TMS
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TCS
2 - 1
DOU
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 0
DOU
20%
19%
62%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 1
LUC
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TMS
2 - 4
LUC
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
TCS
23%
19%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HVA
0 - 5
LUC
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +2 |