Dorostol vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
12º
9º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
DOR
13%
19%
68%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
DOR
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UST
1 - 3
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 1
DOR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
UST
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
SHU
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SHU
0 - 1
SVE
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHU
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 3
SEP
15%
24%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |