Dornach vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FCP
0 - 1
DOR
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LER
1 - 1
DOR
29%
24%
48%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 2
ALL
42%
22%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 1
DOR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 3
MUT
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
HEL
2 - 0
MOU
86%
11%
3%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MOU
4 - 0
LER
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
MOU
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 5
MOU
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
LIE
30%
21%
48%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |