Dorense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
DOR
29%
22%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 2
DOR
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 1
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
BOC
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |