Dorense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AMP
1 - 1
DOR
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 3
SER
27%
24%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
DOR
29%
22%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 2
DOR
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
4 - 1
AFP
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
POT
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |