Copa MX . Last 16
Global 2-2
Dorados vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 3
UAT
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
DOR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
DOR
5 - 3
CIM
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
UDG
3 - 0
DOR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
DOR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
JUA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 2
CHI
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |