Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Temporada Regular. Jor. 4

Dorados vs Cancún analysis

Dorados Cancún
56 ELO 58
3% Tilt 4.8%
3278º General ELO ranking 1591º
44º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Dorados
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Cancún

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Dorados
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.3%
Win probability
Cancún
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dorados
-10%
+38%
Cancún

Points and table prediction

Dorados
Their league position
Cancún
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
14º
14º
28
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cancún
28
28
100%
Leones Negros
27
27
100%
Atlante FC
25
25
100%
Mineros de Zacatecas
24
24
100%
Tepatitlán FC
23
23
100%
Cimarrones de Sonora
22
22
100%
CA Morelia
21
21
0%
Venados FC
21
21
0%
Correcaminos UAT
20
20
100%
CA La Paz
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Celaya
11º
17
17
11º
100%
CD Tapatío
12º
14
14
12º
100%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
13º
13
13
13º
100%
Dorados
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Tlaxcala FC
15º
6
6
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dorados
Cancún
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Dorados
Cancún
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dorados
Dorados
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
CIM
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 - 0
Dorados
DOR
60%
24%
17%
56 68 12 0
31 Jul. 2023
DOR
Dorados
3 - 4
CA La Paz
CAP
39%
27%
35%
56 59 3 0
23 Jul. 2023
UAT
Correcaminos UAT
2 - 0
Dorados
DOR
50%
25%
26%
57 59 2 -1
21 Apr. 2023
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 0
Dorados
DOR
59%
23%
19%
57 64 7 0
17 Apr. 2023
DOR
Dorados
0 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
41%
26%
33%
58 59 1 -1

Matches

Cancún
Cancún
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
CFC
Cancún
2 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
39%
27%
34%
58 61 3 0
30 Jul. 2023
CFC
Cancún
2 - 1
Venados FC
MER
36%
28%
36%
57 61 4 +1
23 Jul. 2023
CDT
CD Tapatío
0 - 0
Cancún
CFC
67%
21%
13%
57 68 11 0
19 Apr. 2023
MER
Venados FC
1 - 1
Cancún
CFC
55%
25%
20%
57 61 4 0
12 Apr. 2023
CFC
Cancún
4 - 1
Pumas Tabasco
SPT
38%
27%
35%
55 57 2 +2
X